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	<title>&#160;&#124;&#160;Mobile Money for the Unbanked(MMU)Marina Solin</title>
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		<title>New regulatory change in South Africa affects mobile money</title>
		<link>http://mmublog.org/blog/new-regulatory-change-in-south-africa-affects-mobile-money/?utm_source=rss&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=new-regulatory-change-in-south-africa-affects-mobile-money</link>
		<comments>http://mmublog.org/blog/new-regulatory-change-in-south-africa-affects-mobile-money/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 14 Aug 2009 15:09:28 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Marina Solin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog Post]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Regulation]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://mmublog.org/?p=287</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[UPDATED: On 1st July 2009, a new Amendment Act to RICA (the Regulation of Interception of Communications and Provision of Communication-Related Information Act) comes into effect. The Act is intended to assist law enforcement agencies with tracing criminals where mobile phones are used to commit major crimes; however, this new regulatory requirement  has had the unintended consequence of making it more difficult for customers to register for mobile services, including mobile money.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p style="text-align: justify;">UPDATED</p>
<p style="text-align: justify;">On 1 July 2009 a new amendment to the Regulation of Interception of Communications and Provision of Communication-related Information Act, 2002 (RICA) came into effect. RICA is intended to assist law enforcement agencies with the tracing of criminals where mobile phones are used to commit major crimes.</p>
<p style="text-align: justify;">The new RICA provisions prohibit mobile network operators from activating a new SIM card unless they have captured the customer&#8217;s identity. This includes the person&#8217;s cellular phone number, full names and surname, identity number and an address (preferably a residential address). The personal information of the customer must also be verified by means of a current (green bar-coded) national identity document, a temporary identity certificate, a valid passport or a travel document. The operator is also required to retain a certified photocopy of the relevant identity document.</p>
<p style="text-align: justify;">Mobile network operators such as CellC, MTN and Vodacom have to comply with these provisions since 1 July 2009 whenever a new mobile phone number is activated. However, the measures also extend to all existing customers. These customers have 18 months from 1st July 2009 to register both their prepaid and contract SIM cards in accordance with the new provisions. SIM cards of subscribers that fail to comply with RICA within the specified time period will be disconnected from their networks until they are registered.</p>
<p style="text-align: justify;"><strong>General Consequences</strong><br />
Customers in South Africa could buy a prepaid mobile phone without the need to register. 86% of mobile subscribers in South Africa have such a prepaid phone. RICA&#8217;s new requirements bring the considerable task of registering the existing 86% of prepaid customers and the requirement to capture customer identity and proof of address. This has already resulted in a drastic reduction in the number of new customer registrations for mobile services in South Africa.</p>
<p style="text-align: justify;">In addition, concerns have been raised in the press regarding the efficacy of the new provisions in fighting crime, the levels of cooperation that could be expected from customers, and the possible abuse of personal data in identity fraud.</p>
<p style="text-align: justify;"><strong>Consequences for  <a class=explanation_tooltip href='' title='<strong>Mobile Money:</strong> service in which the mobile phone is used to access financial services. '>mobile money</a> for the Unbanked<br />
</strong>South Africa has been creative and innovative in balancing financial inclusion and crime combating. It softened the negative impact of its money laundering laws on financial inclusion by creating <a href="http://mmublog.org/africa-south/industrys-favourite-regulatory-solution-south-africas-aml-regulation/" target="_blank">proportionate exemptions for low-value mobile money services</a>.</p>
<p style="text-align: justify;">This means that a customer in South Africa can register for a  <a class=explanation_tooltip href='' title='<strong>Mobile Banking:</strong> when customers access a bank account via a mobile phone; sometimes, they are able to initiate transactions.'>mobile banking</a> service by opening their bank account with their mobile phone. According to Guidance Note 6 (known as ‘Circular 6&#8242; on mobile banking) and FICA Exemption 17, there is no need to go to a bank branch initially if the customer has a valid South African identity number and if transaction limits are observed. The customer can therefore start using the mobile banking service by transacting small amounts without going to a bank branch to provide an address. This approach is proportionate to risk, because the identification requirements become more onerous as the transaction sizes increase. If the customer wants to transact higher amounts, a full identification and proof of address has to be provided in person either at the mobile operator or abank representative (depending on the amounts transacted).</p>
<p style="text-align: justify;">The new RICA rules are undermining some of the space that these exemptions created for mobile money services. RICA re-introduced some of the classic financial inclusion barriers by linking the heavy identification requirements of RICA to the right to use a mobile phone. Whilst customers have reduced identification requirements for low-risk mobile banking services, they now have to undergo the more rigorous RICA procedures to be able to use a mobile phone. This negates the benefits of Guidance Note 6 and Exemption 17.</p>
<p style="text-align: justify;">Clients will, for example, face geographical barriers because they will need to visit agents of operators in person where they will be required to produce the required documents. Many will probably find it inconvenient or expensive to meet the requirements while other users may lack the required documentation. Those who lack identity documents are often socially and financially vulnerable. A significant number of South Africans will therefore be unable to access mobile communication services and therefore also mobile money services.</p>
<p style="text-align: justify;">All the above difficulties will exclude many South Africans from mobile communication services, not because they are criminals, but because they have a hard time obtaining the relevant official identity document. This will impact their ability to use mobile phones as a communication tool. Many low-income South Africans conduct their trade and business via their mobile phones. In addition to the social impact of losing their mobile connection, it will also impact on their ability to continue to earn their income as builders, painters, plumbers, etc .</p>
<p style="text-align: justify;">The exclusion will potentially impact third-party service providers as well. The RICA provisions can potentially close down one of their primary means of staying in contact with a client via the mobile phone. In particular this could lead to greater defaults (in loans, utility bills, etc) as such a client is no longer reminded of, or chased for, outstanding payments.</p>
<p style="text-align: justify;"><strong>Conclusion<br />
</strong>It is too early to predict with certainty the outcome of the new RICA requirement on mobile money in South Africa. However, it is likely that the new barriers will prove too high for some current and potential users. It is, however, possible that users will go to great lengths to meet the new requirements because mobile phone connectivity is so important in their lives.</p>
<p style="text-align: justify;">Once the hurdle RICA presents has been surmounted, there may even be a positive impact for mobile money services. If the identification processes of RICA are robust enough and provide sufficient proof of the identity of the user of a SIM card, it may justify lesser money laundering controls in respect of mobile money services rendered via that SIM card. Those who meet the new requirements may then benefit from a further relaxation of the money laundering laws relating to mobile phone banking.</p>
<p style="text-align: justify;">South Africa therefore provides an interesting case study that merits close attention as it unfolds over the next few years. </p>
<p style="text-align: justify;">Notes:</p>
<p style="text-align: justify;"><span style="font-size: 10pt; color: black; line-height: 115%; font-family: &quot;Calibri&quot;,&quot;sans-serif&quot;; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-ansi-language: EN-GB; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA;">South African Reserve Bank, (2008), <em style="mso-bidi-font-style: normal;">Guidance Note 6/2008 Issued in terms of Section 6(5) of the Banks Act, 1990: Cell-phone Banking</em>, South African Reserve Bank, Pretoria (previously issued as Bank Circular 6 of 2006.) and </span><span style="font-size: 10pt; color: black; line-height: 115%; font-family: &quot;Calibri&quot;,&quot;sans-serif&quot;; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ansi-language: EN-GB; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA;">FICA (South Africa) FIC Exemption 17 and guidance notes; available via <a href="http://www.fic.gov.za">www.fic.gov.za</a></span></p>
<p style="text-align: justify;"><span style="font-size: 10pt; color: black; line-height: 115%; font-family: &quot;Calibri&quot;,&quot;sans-serif&quot;; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ansi-language: EN-GB; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA;"><span style="font-size: 11pt; line-height: 115%; font-family: &quot;Calibri&quot;,&quot;sans-serif&quot;; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ansi-language: EN-GB; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA;">Louis de Koker’s letter to the Select Committee on Security and Constitutional Affairs on 31 October 2007.</span></span></p>
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		<title>GSMA Mobile Money Leadership Forum convenes financial regulators and the mobile industry</title>
		<link>http://mmublog.org/blog/gsma-mobile-money-leadership-forum-convenes-financial-regulators-and-the-mobile-industry/?utm_source=rss&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=gsma-mobile-money-leadership-forum-convenes-financial-regulators-and-the-mobile-industry</link>
		<comments>http://mmublog.org/blog/gsma-mobile-money-leadership-forum-convenes-financial-regulators-and-the-mobile-industry/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 30 Jun 2009 13:20:49 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Marina Solin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog Post]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Regulation]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://mmublog.org/?p=209</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The first annual Mobile Money Leadership Forum was held in Barcelona on 25 June, 2009. To our knowledge this was the first event of this size designed to promote dialogue between financial regulators and the mobile industry. The event was attended by over 70 participants from Africa, Asia, Latin America and the Middle East.

In my opening remarks, I emphasized that "we don't have to agree, but we can all listen to one another". What followed was a great deal of productive dialogue. The group took advantage of this unique opportunity to pursue their curiosity about the topic of mobile money and engage in some frank and open discussions. There were are a few key themes and statements that I would like to highlight from the discussion.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p style="text-align: justify;">The first annual  <a class=explanation_tooltip href='' title='<strong>Mobile Money:</strong> service in which the mobile phone is used to access financial services. '>mobile money</a> Leadership Forum was held in Barcelona on 25 June, 2009. To our knowledge this was the first event of this size designed to promote dialogue between financial regulators and the mobile industry. The event was attended by over 70 participants from Africa, Asia, Latin America and the Middle East.</p>
<p style="text-align: justify;">In my opening remarks, I emphasized that &#8220;we don&#8217;t have to agree, but we can all listen to one another&#8221;. What followed was a great deal of productive dialogue. The group took advantage of this unique opportunity to pursue their curiosity about the topic of mobile money and engage in some frank and open discussions. There were  are a few key themes and statements that I would like to highlight from the discussion..</p>
<p style="text-align: justify;"><strong>Unpacking mantras</strong>. The group had a strong desire to explore just what phrases like ‘proportionality&#8217; and ‘financial inclusion&#8217; really mean. I saw a lot of value in discussing the practical implications of these mantras and the role that they actually play in regulating mobile money. Further, hosting this discussion at a global level enabled participants from one market to evaluate the attitude and approach used in other markets.</p>
<p style="text-align: justify;"><strong>Recognizing the value of dialogue</strong>. Operators shared experiences engaging with their regulators and noted that when dialogue takes place, learning goes both ways. As one participant put it: ‘several years ago, our  <a class=explanation_tooltip href='' title='<strong>Regulator:</strong> in the context of mobile money, this typically refers to the regulator who has supervisory 
																			authority over financial institutions within a particular country—usually the central bank 
																			or other financial authority.'>regulator</a> taught us about the need to identify customers. This requirement is now common in telecom and we were effectively prepared for this change when it arrived based on our early experience in mobile money. Our regulator also required that we monitor all transactions and report on what is happening to satisfy AML requirements. To satisfy this requirement, we ended up creating a very powerful management information system that now enables us to make better business decisions. Likewise, we helped our regulator understand some commercial implications of regulation. For example, the relationship between stringency of KYC and ability to scale, and the impact of account balance limits on targeting prospective high value customers.&#8217;</p>
<p style="text-align: justify;">Above all, both operators and regulators emphasized a desire to keep dialogue open.</p>
<p style="text-align: justify;"><strong>‘Identify the risk and regulate it proportionately&#8217;</strong>. This phrase was initially used during the Mobile Money Summit, but panellists and participants returned to it during the Leadership Forum. The phrase is simple, but it effectively communicates the approach used in Kenya &#8211; both prior to and following the launch of M-PESA &#8211; and could be considered as an effective philosophy for regulating mobile money.</p>
<p style="text-align: justify;">I would like to sincerely thank the regulators and mobile operators who participated. I look forward to seeing you again next year.</p>
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		<title>Industry&#039;s Favourite Regulatory Solution: South Africa&#039;s AML Regulation</title>
		<link>http://mmublog.org/blog/industrys-favourite-regulatory-solution-south-africas-aml-regulation/?utm_source=rss&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=industrys-favourite-regulatory-solution-south-africas-aml-regulation</link>
		<comments>http://mmublog.org/blog/industrys-favourite-regulatory-solution-south-africas-aml-regulation/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 30 Mar 2009 14:24:05 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Marina Solin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog Post]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Regulation]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://mmublog.org/?p=115</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Marina Solin examines South Africa's AML/KYC regulation, which provides a good example of the principal of proportionality being applied while allowing for a good mobile experience for customers. As regulators and mobile money providers review the article, consider the following question: which elements of South Africa's AML/KYC solution can other countries replicate?]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p style="text-align: justify;">Each Quarterly Update will feature one proposal for ‘industry&#8217;s favourite regulatory solution&#8217;. Our goal is to feature good examples of regulation which already exist in the market as a starting point for discussion. In each feature, we will explain which elements of the regulation work for the industry and why. We will also seek to identify areas for potential improvement. Most importantly, we want to elicit and collect your views to move the discussion forward, ultimately leading to improved regulation. We appreciate that each market is unique and that regulatory solutions from one market cannot be replicated in exactly the same manner elsewhere. Nevertheless, what we want to focus on are the underlying regulatory principles of examples of good regulatory solutions. In this edition, which is preceding our first MMU Working Group meeting in Cape Town on 15th and 16th April, we have chosen the AML (anti-money laundering) regulation for  <a class=explanation_tooltip href='' title='<strong>Mobile Money:</strong> service in which the mobile phone is used to access financial services. '>mobile money</a> in South Africa. This example has been chosen as ‘industry&#8217;s favourite regulatory solution&#8217; because it is proportionate to risk and it allows a mobile experience for customers. Whilst regulation promoting mobile money has to be efficient in preventing money laundering and financing of terrorism, it also has to be proportionate to the given risks and allow for a good customer experience. By mobile experience, we mean that the regulation takes into account the needs of the customer to use the mobile money service anywhere and at any time.</p>
<p style="text-align: justify;"><strong>What we like about South Africa&#8217;s AML/KYC regulation</strong></p>
<p style="text-align: justify;"><em>Mobile experience and proportionality</em><br />
A customer in South Africa can register for a  <a class=explanation_tooltip href='' title='<strong>Mobile Banking:</strong> when customers access a bank account via a mobile phone; sometimes, they are able to initiate transactions.'>mobile banking</a> service with a truly ‘mobile experience&#8217; by opening their bank account with their mobile phone. There is no need to go to a bank branch initially if the customer has a valid South African identity number and if the following limits are observed:</p>
<p style="text-align: justify;">• daily transfer limit of approx. US$100 (approx)<br />
• monthly transfer limit of approx US$2,500 (approx)<br />
• maximum balance of US$2,500</p>
<p style="text-align: justify;">The customer can start using the service by transacting small amounts without going to a bank branch<br />
to provide an address.</p>
<p style="text-align: justify;">This approach is proportionate to risk, because the identification requirements become more onerous as the transaction sizes increase. The customer has to provide identification when transacting up to US$500 with the same monthly limit and maximum balance of US$2,500 respectively. If the customer wants to transact higher amounts, a full identification and proof of address has to be provided in person to a bank representative.</p>
<p style="text-align: justify;">The appropriateness of the actual daily/monthly transfer limits as well as balance limits may depend on the risks of the service and on the customer group. In addition, different transaction limits may be appropriate in different markets. However, the underlying principle of low transaction sizes constitute low risk and should be less onerously regulated than higher transaction sizes which constitute higher risk, is what is key for a proportionate regulatory solution.</p>
<p style="text-align: justify;"><em>Potential for improvement<br />
</em>This solution is limited to customers who have a South African identity number. This means that migrant<br />
workers do not qualify.</p>
<p style="text-align: justify;"><strong>Question for Discussion:</strong> <strong>which elements of South Africa&#8217;s AML/KYC solution can other countries replicate? Which regulatory solution should we focus on in our next Quarterly Update?</strong></p>
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		<title>Mobilising Money Through Enabling Regulation</title>
		<link>http://mmublog.org/blog/mobilising-money-through-enabling-regulation/?utm_source=rss&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=mobilising-money-through-enabling-regulation</link>
		<comments>http://mmublog.org/blog/mobilising-money-through-enabling-regulation/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 30 Mar 2009 14:03:14 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Marina Solin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog Post]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Regulation]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://mmublog.org/?p=108</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[David Porteous introduces the key dimensions of a regulatory environment - openness and certainty - and illustrates the concept by plotting four countries that are active in mobile banking. As regulators and mobile money providers review the article, consider the following question: what is the right balance between openness and certainty and how can regulators find it?]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p style="text-align: justify;">An enabling environment is one that allows, and may even encourage, the introduction and development of new business models that meet a defined public policy objective. In this case, the objective espoused by many countries is that of increasing financial inclusion &#8211; the proportion of people with appropriate formal financial services. In our 2006 report for DFID, we proposed two key dimensions for an enabling environment in a new sector like mobile money. These were:</p>
<p style="text-align: justify;"><strong>Openness</strong>: the extent to which new models that had the potential to be transformative were not prohibited from starting up.</p>
<p style="text-align: justify;"><strong>Certainty</strong>: the extent to which policy makers and regulators provide clarity that reduces the level of risk for private sector operators not only at start-up but over time.</p>
<p style="text-align: justify;"><img class="alignright size-medium wp-image-124" title="mmu_quarterly_update6" src="http://mmublog.org/wp-content/uploads/2009/06/mmu_quarterly_update6-300x242.jpg" alt="mmu_quarterly_update6" width="300" height="242" /></p>
<p style="text-align: justify;">Quadrant 1 (high certainty and high openness) is clearly the most suitable situation to facilitate mobile money, hence the direction of the arrows. However, based on early diagnostic work in two African countries (South Africa and Kenya), we hypothesised that middle income countries like South Africa were more likely than low income countries to be in quadrant 2 (high certainty, low openness) because they typically have more developed regulatory regimes. That is, they usually have a range of regulatory institutions that have issued regulations or guidance on  <a class=explanation_tooltip href='' title='<strong>Mobile Money:</strong> service in which the mobile phone is used to access financial services. '>mobile money</a> or related issues, increasing the certainty, but they face the real risk that a plethora of overlapping and sometimes obsolete regulations will reduce the space in which they can innovate. Conversely, we hypothesised that in low income countries like Kenya, there was simply less on the books in the way of legislation and regulation, usually resulting in more discretion for regulators (and correspondingly, less certainty for providers), but this lack of regulation could also create more openness for the development of innovative models. The report suggested which regulatory domains were affected by mobile money but did little to prioritise among them.</p>
<p style="text-align: justify;">Recently, three colleagues Lyman, Pickens &amp; Porteous (2008) went further, suggesting how to prioritise the factors based on identifying two necessary conditions for branchless banking to emerge from the range of country diagnostic missions undertaken in 2007. These conditions are:</p>
<p style="text-align: justify;"><strong>1. Agents must be allowed to operate on behalf of banks and others to open accounts and handle  <a class=explanation_tooltip href='' title='<strong>Cash In:</strong> the process by which a customer credits his account with cash. This is usually via an 
																			 agent who takes the cash and credits the customer/’s mobile money account.'>cash in</a> and out functions.</strong>As Lyman, Ivatury, and Staschen (2006) argued convincingly, this particular arrangement greatly extends the potential reach of the financial system since existing businesses, such as local merchants, can function as financial service points at much lower cost than if a bank had to set up a new branch or even an ATM infrastructure.</p>
<p style="text-align: justify;"><strong>2. Regimes to oppose money laundering and the financing of terrorism (AMLCFT) should be proportionate.</strong> Specifically, the due diligence procedures required under  <a class=explanation_tooltip href='' title='<strong>Know Your Customer:</strong> rules related to AML/CFT which require providers to carry out procedures to identify a customer.'>know your customer</a> (KYC) regulations (now present in most countries) for opening new deposit accounts or taking payments, must allow for reduced identification and verification procedures for low risk customers. Otherwise, low income people could never meet the standards set in developed countries which, for example, require them to verify a physical address by presenting a utility or other bill.</p>
<p style="text-align: justify;">Lyman et al. (2006) identified four more regulatory areas (&#8220;next generation issues&#8221;) that would affect the trajectory of development. There should be an appropriate space to issue  <a class=explanation_tooltip href='' title='<strong>E-money:</strong> short for electronic money, is stored value held in the accounts of users, agents, and 
																			 the provider of the mobile money service. Typically, the total value of e-money is mirrored 
																			 in (a) bank account(s), such that even if the provider of the mobile money service were to fail,
																			 users could recover 100% of the value stored in their accounts. That said, bank deposits can
																			 earn interest, while e-money cannot.'>e-money</a> and other stored value instruments, along with effective consumer protection, an inclusive system to regulate payments, and appropriate competition rules for new payment systems. They also affirmed the earlier observation that, because the regulation of mobile money cuts across many regulatory domains, the risk of coordination failure is higher.</p>
<p style="text-align: justify;"><strong>From Information to Rating</strong></p>
<p style="text-align: justify;">To proceed from the general insights about regulatory factors above to a country rating model for mobile money, we took two steps:</p>
<p style="text-align: justify;">1. We designed a simplified questionnaire that collects answers about the status of policy or legislation (including regulation or guidance) across the two dimensions of openness and certainty and in the main domains bearing on mobile money.</p>
<p style="text-align: justify;">2. We then developed a scoring model that weights the answers obtained relative to the purpose of the rating expressed above.</p>
<p style="text-align: justify;"><strong>Initial Results</strong></p>
<p style="text-align: justify;">We focused on using publicly available information from diagnostics in four key countries, chosen because of their scale and the levels of interest and activity in mobile banking. They include three leading countries that are mobile money pioneers in the developing world &#8211; Kenya, the Philippines and South Africa &#8211; and India. In India, interest in mobile money has exploded in the past three years after mobile subscriptions took off in that massive country with its great infrastructural challenges for traditional models of extending the financial system. Several Indian banks have introduced various mobile channels for their customers, although mass usage of those channels reportedly remains low and is certainly not yet transformational.</p>
<p style="text-align: justify;">While this is a small sample, these four countries offer sufficient variation in terms of income level per capita and extent of activity and development in mobile money to test our hypotheses about enabling environments and the growth of mobile money.</p>
<p style="text-align: justify;">The outcome of the scoring summarised in Figure 2 supports several of the hypotheses I advanced earlier. Three points are especially important. First, the openness of the environment does indeed matter: in all of the three countries that are ranked much higher on the openness axis (i.e. to the right hand side), mobile money models have been relatively more active for longer and are more widely used, compared to India, which lies lower on the openness axis.</p>
<p style="text-align: justify;"><img class="alignright size-medium wp-image-123" title="mmu_quarterly_update4" src="http://mmublog.org/wp-content/uploads/2009/06/mmu_quarterly_update4-300x177.jpg" alt="mmu_quarterly_update4" width="300" height="177" /></p>
<p style="text-align: justify;">Second, however, the countries classified as middle income by the World Bank (South Africa, the Philippines and India) all lie higher on the certainty scale than low income Kenya which is clearly in the bottom right quadrant (high openness but low certainty). The Philippines is positioned just inside the top right quadrant, reflecting the fact that while its environment is very open, some of the models have been authorised based on bilateral letters of agreement, the Filipino Central Bank (BSP) is now moving beyond this level of discretion towards a broader framework in key areas like e-money issuance by non-banks. On 9th March 2009, the BSP published a guidance circular setting out an approach for nonbank e-money which increases the certainty around this issue: in fact, it results in an increase of 0.5 in the certainty score for the Philippines, decisively boosting its position within the top right hand quadrant.</p>
<p style="text-align: justify;">In some ways, South Africa&#8217;s position is surprising: experiments began there comparatively early and several well known pioneering models such as WIZZIT and MTN Mobile Money emanate from there, but the role that non-banks can play in issuing e-money is circumscribed by the current guidance note on e-money which has frustrated some potential innovators. To further enhance its environment, South Africa would have to amend its position, for example by creating a category of regulation for non-bank e-money issuers, or ‘narrow banks,&#8217; a step that has in fact been suggested. In general, common law countries have an advantage in terms of openness because of the presumption that whatever is not prohibited is in fact allowed; in civil law countries, the reverse applies.</p>
<p style="text-align: justify;">Finally, India has a plethora of legislation. Its laws, regulations and guidelines across a range of areas provide certainty, but limit the openness on key issues: for example, what types of entities can serve as agents? The Reserve Bank of India first allowed agents to function in 2006, and in 2008 issued further guidelines to clarify the restrictions on this role.</p>
<p style="text-align: justify;">While it is easy to make the case for openness, recent events in Kenya also show the importance of certainty. For example, M-PESA, perhaps the largest single mobile money model in these four countries based on number of users, is not formally regulated but operates at a system-wide scale under a no-objection letter from Kenya&#8217;s Central Bank.</p>
<p style="text-align: justify;">Clearly, openness and certainty alone are not sufficient to ensure the sustainable development of mobile money. The safety of clients&#8217; deposits matters too, as Lyman Pickens and Porteous (2008) point out. In the absence of a framework that creates certainty about which types of entities can enter and how they must behave, too much openness to innovative models from new entrants can be risky, especially once these models move beyond the small-scale pilot stages.</p>
<p style="text-align: justify;"><strong>Question for Discussion: what is the right balance between openness and certainty and how can regulators find it?</strong></p>
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